Ogre United 0-4 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 19 Jul 2026

Ogre United
0-4 HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
📅19/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2026

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ogre United v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.79/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.04
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
15.1 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.45 xG 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
269 Passes 284
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.05.2026 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-1 HT 2-0 Ogre United LET
07.04.2026 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-1 HT 2-0 Ogre United LET

Ogre United 0-4 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ogre United
0-4
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.20 xG 2.89
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
389 Passes 250
27 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils
Match summary & frequently asked questions

BFC Daugavpils ran out comfortable winners over Ogre United 4-0 away from home in the Latvia - Virsliga on 19 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.20 to 2.89.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ogre United and 2.50 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

Ogre United 0-4 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 28%, draw 23%, BFC Daugavpils 49%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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