Newcastle United U21 1-1 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.8pp
31%
Away Win
43%
-12.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.1pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sunderland U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 2.32
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
154 Passes 575
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
4 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 2-3 HT 1-2 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
1-1
AWAY Sunderland U21
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 Passes 435
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 and Sunderland U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 44% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Newcastle United U21 1-1 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 40%, draw 30%, Sunderland U21 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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