Vancouver FC 1-2 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 19 Aug 2024

Vancouver FC
1-2 HT 0-1
Forge
📅19/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Vancouver FC vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
20%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 28% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.6pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vancouver FC v Forge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.61/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.03
-51% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
11.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
21.0 Crosses 19.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Vancouver FC vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.90 xG 1.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
231 Passes 435
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Forge Forge 3-3 HT 1-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
18.05.2024 Forge Forge 1-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
04.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Forge Forge CAPL
29.07.2023 Forge Forge 2-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
21.06.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Forge Forge KAPL
20.05.2023 Forge Forge 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL

Vancouver FC 1-2 Forge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
1-2
AWAY Forge
0.89 xG 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
286 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge nicked a narrow win over Vancouver FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 47% of the ball to Forge's 53%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 0.89 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.50 for Forge.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Forge?

Vancouver FC 1-2 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 28%, draw 25%, Forge 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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