Atletico San Luis 4-0 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +24%
1.48/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.39
+46% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.3 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Queretaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.70 xG 1.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
16.07.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-1 HT 2-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.03.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
12.08.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
18.03.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.08.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
4-0
AWAY Queretaro
3.39 xG 0.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
325 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis cruised past Queretaro 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico San Luis as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 50% of the ball to Queretaro's 50%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 3.39 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.50 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro?

Atletico San Luis 4-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 48%, draw 25%, Queretaro 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico San Luis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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