Tijuana vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
3-2
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
0-2
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
4-0
HT 1-0
Tijuana
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
Tijuana 3-1 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana beat Santos Laguna 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Tijuana had 71% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 29%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.37 to 1.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tijuana and 2.33 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Santos Laguna?
Tijuana 3-1 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 56%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.