Eyüpspor 4-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.64
Over
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.63
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
17%
4.47
6+
7%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.63 — our 37% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
18%
4.7
X/2
12%
6.64
X/X
16%
3.88
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
10%
5.15
2/X
4%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
277 Passes 231
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
07.10.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
04.06.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
31.05.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
28.02.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
03.09.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 3-0 HT 2-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
4-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
2.28 xG 1.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
420 Passes 192
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor ran out comfortable winners over Bodrum FK 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 64% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 36%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 2.28 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eyüpspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eyüpspor and 0.83 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Bodrum FK?

Eyüpspor 4-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 43%, draw 29%, Bodrum FK 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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