Hatayspor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hatayspor v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals
Hatayspor vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hatayspor 1-1 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics
Hatayspor and Kasımpaşa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Hatayspor had 38% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 62%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.53 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hatayspor and 1.33 for Kasımpaşa.
What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Hatayspor 1-1 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 39%, draw 26%, Kasımpaşa 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hatayspor), BTTS No went the other way.