CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA River Plate v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Nacional de Football
URU
3-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URU
1-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
URU
4-2
HT 1-1
CA River Plate
URU
CA River Plate 3-3 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
CA River Plate and Nacional de Football shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Nacional de Football at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, CA River Plate had 38% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 62%, shots finished 13-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA River Plate and 2.33 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football?
CA River Plate 3-3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 22%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 52%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5 went the other way.