Defensor Sporting 1-2 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.80/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.70
+2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 2-1 HT 1-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
18.11.2021 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-5 HT 0-5 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU2
22.09.2019 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
07.06.2015 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.12.2014 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
1-2
AWAY Rampla Juniors
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rampla Juniors squeezed past Defensor Sporting 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 70% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 30%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.40 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Rampla Juniors?

Defensor Sporting 1-2 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 50%, draw 24%, Rampla Juniors 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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