Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fleetwood Town v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals
Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fleetwood Town 1-4 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra cruised past Fleetwood Town 4-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
From a near-even 40% / 27% / 33% read, it was Crewe Alexandra who turned the coin-flip their way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. At 1.80 (~56%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
The match data tells the story: Fleetwood Town had 53% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 47%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.23 to 1.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fleetwood Town and 1.00 for Crewe Alexandra.
Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra Result & Final Score
Fleetwood Town 1-4 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 40%, draw 27%, Crewe Alexandra 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town) went the other way.