Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crewe Alexandra v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crewe Alexandra 1-4 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics
Fleetwood Town ran out comfortable winners over Crewe Alexandra 4-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
The model refused to pick a side here (40% / 30% / 30%); Fleetwood Town picked one for it. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in Crewe Alexandra's favour, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.13 to 1.75.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Crewe Alexandra against 1.33 for Fleetwood Town.
Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town Result & Final Score
Crewe Alexandra 1-4 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 40%, draw 30%, Fleetwood Town 30%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.