Fleetwood Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Oct 2024

Fleetwood Town
0-1
Crewe Alexandra
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.54
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.31
X/2
10%
7.75
X/X
8%
4.97
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
10%
5.74
2/X
11%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fleetwood Town v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.34/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.14
-52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.4 Crosses 16.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.76 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
254 Passes 286
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.04.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-3 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
16.10.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
20.04.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
26.12.2020 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
14.08.2018 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İNLK
08.05.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1

Fleetwood Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
0-1
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
383 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra nicked a narrow win over Fleetwood Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Fleetwood Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 58% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 42%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.83 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra?

Fleetwood Town 0-1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 42%, draw 27%, Crewe Alexandra 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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