Doncaster Rovers 0-1 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
19%
4.01
X/2
8%
9.9
X/X
12%
5.35
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
14%
7.48
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.93/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.92
+12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
391 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 65%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
25.6 Crosses 17.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
0-1
AWAY Bromley
1.84 xG 1.15
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 8
399 Passes 149
82% Pass Accuracy 61%
40 Box Touches 20
39 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley edged past Doncaster Rovers 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 65% of the ball to Bromley's 35%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Bromley?

Doncaster Rovers 0-1 Bromley in the England - 2nd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 46%, draw 26%, Bromley 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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