Chesterfield 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
22%
4.23
X/2
16%
8.7
X/X
13%
4.94
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
7%
6.49
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.31/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.61
+20% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
311 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 68%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
15.5 Crosses 16.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Colchester
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
30.12.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
12.09.2017 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
05.11.2016 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield FAK
16.02.2016 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
12.09.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-3 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN1
14.04.2015 Chesterfield Chesterfield 6-0 HT 3-0 Colchester Colchester İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
1-1
AWAY Colchester
2.06 xG 0.40
77% Ball Possession 23%
23 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
17 Corners 0
620 Passes 137
88% Pass Accuracy 63%
33 Box Touches 13
39 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield and Colchester shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chesterfield had 77% of the ball to Colchester's 23%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 2.06 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Chesterfield and 1.00 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Colchester?

Chesterfield 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 41%, draw 30%, Colchester 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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