Colchester vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colchester v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Colchester vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Colchester
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
FAK
1-1
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İN1
3-3
HT 1-1
Colchester
İN1
Colchester 1-0 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Colchester nicked a narrow win over Chesterfield 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colchester as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Colchester had 49% of the ball to Chesterfield's 51%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.29 to 0.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colchester and 1.33 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Colchester vs Chesterfield?
Colchester 1-0 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colchester vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colchester 43%, draw 29%, Chesterfield 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.