Grimsby Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Mar 2025

Grimsby Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Tranmere Rovers
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Grimsby Town vs Tranmere Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.3
X/2
9%
8.41
X/X
11%
4.63
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
9%
6.8
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grimsby Town v Tranmere Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.38/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.50
-29% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
254 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 66%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.4 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Grimsby Town vs Tranmere Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 0.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
220 Passes 260
63% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
27.01.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
07.10.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.04.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
10.12.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
17.03.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2

Grimsby Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.62 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
234 Passes 214
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town and Tranmere Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grimsby Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 51% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 49%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.62 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.17 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Grimsby Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 52%, draw 25%, Tranmere Rovers 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grimsby Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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