Carlisle United 1-1 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Mar 2025

Carlisle United
1-1 HT 1-1
Walsall
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Carlisle United vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.01
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
14%
6.43
X/2
12%
4.72
X/X
10%
4.23
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.13
2/X
10%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carlisle United v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.17/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.15
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
224 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 69%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.8 Crosses 21.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Carlisle United vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Walsall
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
249 Passes 204
65% Pass Accuracy 59%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Walsall Walsall 3-1 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
10.04.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
26.11.2022 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United FAK
12.11.2022 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
15.04.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
27.11.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2

Carlisle United 1-1 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
1-1
AWAY Walsall
0.54 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 240
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Carlisle United vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United and Walsall couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Carlisle United had 51% of the ball to Walsall's 49%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.54 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carlisle United and 1.00 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Walsall?

Carlisle United 1-1 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 33%, draw 28%, Walsall 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Walsall), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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