Walsall 3-1 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
14%
3.8
X/2
7%
11.1
X/X
11%
4.92
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
12%
9.09
2/X
8%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.91/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.42
-35% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 61%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
25.7 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Carlisle United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.54 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
209 Passes 209
59% Pass Accuracy 62%
16 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2023 Walsall Walsall 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
26.11.2022 Walsall Walsall 2-1 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United FAK
12.11.2022 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
15.04.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
27.11.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
08.05.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
3-1
AWAY Carlisle United
1.98 xG 1.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
160 Passes 430
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall got the better of Carlisle United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Walsall had 33% of the ball to Carlisle United's 67%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.98 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Walsall and 0.33 for Carlisle United.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Carlisle United?

Walsall 3-1 Carlisle United in the England - 2nd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Walsall 49%, draw 26%, Carlisle United 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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