Tranmere Rovers 0-1 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
9%
7.07
X/X
16%
4.02
2/1
13%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.39
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
-9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 64%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.5 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Grimsby Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
266 Passes 230
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
07.10.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
22.04.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
10.12.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
17.03.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
21.11.2020 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 5-0 HT 4-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
0-1
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.33 xG 1.76
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
297 Passes 193
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town nicked a narrow win over Tranmere Rovers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tranmere Rovers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 58% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 42%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.33 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.83 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Grimsby Town?

Tranmere Rovers 0-1 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 43%, draw 30%, Grimsby Town 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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