Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.66
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
6.41
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.84/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.34
-13% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.02.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
20.01.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
13.09.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
16.08.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.04.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
15.02.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Shams Azar Qazvin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.00 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 39%, draw 30%, Shams Azar Qazvin 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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