Stuttgart 2-0 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 19 Sep 2025

Stuttgart
2 - 0 HT 1 - 0
St. Pauli
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Stuttgart vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over Pick
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.54
No
41%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.26
2-3
45%
1.85
4-5
28%
2.81
6+
8%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.37
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.6
X/2
9%
8.28
X/X
13%
5.62
2/1 ✗
3%
20.7
2/2
13%
5.81
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 3% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Stuttgart v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Stuttgart The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.41 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
1.28 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2

Stuttgart vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.27 xG 1.24
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
441 Passes 212
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2025 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
21.12.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
01.02.2020 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
17.08.2019 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
29.01.2017 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
08.08.2016 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2

Stuttgart 2-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
2 - 0
AWAY St. Pauli
2.11 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
462 Passes 338
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Stuttgart vs St. Pauli
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stuttgart saw off St. Pauli 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Stuttgart had 54% of the ball to St. Pauli's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.11 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stuttgart and 0.67 for St. Pauli.

Stuttgart vs St. Pauli Result & Final Score

Stuttgart 2 - 0 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stuttgart vs St. Pauli Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 53%, draw 24%, St. Pauli 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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