St. Pauli vs Stuttgart Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Pauli v Stuttgart — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Stuttgart
AL2
2-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Stuttgart
AL2
2-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
3-0
HT 3-0
St. Pauli
AFK
St. Pauli 0-1 Stuttgart — Actual Match Statistics
Stuttgart nicked a narrow win over St. Pauli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, St. Pauli had 30% of the ball to Stuttgart's 70%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.43 to 2.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stuttgart's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Pauli and 1.50 for Stuttgart.
What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Stuttgart?
St. Pauli 0-1 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Stuttgart?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 34%, draw 25%, Stuttgart 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.