Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
6-0
HT 3-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund cruised past Wolfsburg 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 55% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 45%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.43 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.83 for Wolfsburg.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg?
Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 56%, draw 24%, Wolfsburg 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.