Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolfsburg v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
6-0
HT 3-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
6-1
HT 5-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
1-3
HT 1-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
Wolfsburg 1-0 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Wolfsburg nicked a narrow win over Borussia Dortmund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Wolfsburg had 42% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 58%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.31 to 1.73 — on chances, Borussia Dortmund could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wolfsburg and 2.83 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
Wolfsburg 1-0 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 34%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.