Augsburg 3-0 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
29%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.61
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.4
X/1
16%
3.61
X/2
7%
15.95
X/X
12%
7.42
2/1
9%
20.95
2/2
14%
11.9
2/X
6%
19.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
69%
-20.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
13%
+15.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
Crosses 14.6
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
223 Passes 341
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
02.10.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-3 HT 1-2 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
17.07.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg HAZ
11.04.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
13.12.2020 Augsburg Augsburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
24.05.2020 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-3 HT 0-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Augsburg
3-0
AWAY Schalke 04
0.92 xG 0.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
397 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Augsburg vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg swept aside Schalke 04 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Augsburg had 53% of the ball to Schalke 04's 47%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.92 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Augsburg and 1.17 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

Augsburg 3-0 Schalke 04 in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 49%, draw 23%, Schalke 04 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Augsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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