Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.46
Over 2.5
64%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.83
2-3 Goals
38%
2.41
4-5 Goals
28%
2.36
6+ Goals
18%
3.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
14%
3.7
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
10%
14.25
2/1
4%
20.9
2/2 EV+ ✗
11%
26.5
2/X
4%
31.5
Value flag · 2/2 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
79%
-20.1pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.3pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+12.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
25%
+11.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
75%
-11.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 11%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
513 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
40.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Elversberg
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.75 xG 2.28
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 17
11 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 4
469 Passes 277
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 35
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2022 Elversberg Elversberg 4-3 HT 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
3-0
AWAY Elversberg
1.43 xG 0.91
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 12
726 Passes 334
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen ran out comfortable winners over Elversberg 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 66% of the ball to Elversberg's 34%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.43 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Elversberg?

Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Elversberg in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 59%, draw 20%, Elversberg 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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