Stuttgart 2-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.02
2-3 Goals
35%
2.07
4-5 Goals
32%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
5.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.72
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
17%
3.89
X/2
6%
13.45
X/X
8%
7.54
2/1
9%
19.2
2/2
8%
9.09
2/X
8%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.7pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 20%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.98/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.97
-57% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +103%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
14.0 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
466 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.09.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 4-1 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern HAZ
25.10.2017 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-3 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AFK
26.02.2017 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
17.09.2016 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
09.03.2012 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
30.09.2011 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-2 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
2-1
AWAY Kaiserslautern
2.52 xG 1.24
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
603 Passes 211
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
49 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart edged past Kaiserslautern 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Stuttgart had 69% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 31%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.52 to 1.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stuttgart's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stuttgart and 0.33 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Kaiserslautern?

Stuttgart 2-1 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - DFB Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 52%, draw 23%, Kaiserslautern 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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