Stuttgart 4-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Sep 2024

Stuttgart
4-1 HT 1-0
Kaiserslautern
📅05/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs Kaiserslautern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.21
2-3 Goals
39%
2.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
5.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Kaiserslautern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
2.86/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.46
+45% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards –

Stuttgart vs Kaiserslautern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
466 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.10.2017 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-3 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AFK
26.02.2017 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
17.09.2016 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
09.03.2012 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
30.09.2011 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-2 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
09.04.2011 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-4 HT 2-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart swept aside Kaiserslautern 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stuttgart and 0.83 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Kaiserslautern?

Stuttgart 4-1 Kaiserslautern in the Friendlies on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 50%, draw 25%, Kaiserslautern 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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