Austria Lustenau 1-0 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
39%
+7.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
37%
-8.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 40%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
5.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.04
+150% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Wil 1900
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
12.07.2019 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau HAZ
13.01.2018 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-2 HT 1-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau HAZ
01.07.2015 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 5-1 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Lustenau
1-0
AWAY Wil 1900
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau nicked a narrow win over Wil 1900 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Austria Lustenau as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Lustenau had 46% of the ball to Wil 1900's 54%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.33 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Wil 1900?

Austria Lustenau 1-0 Wil 1900 in the Friendlies on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 47%, draw 25%, Wil 1900 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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