Grasshoppers 1-2 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Sep 2024

Grasshoppers
1-2 HT 0-1
Aarau
📅05/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Grasshoppers vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.8pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grasshoppers v Aarau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 27%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.31/2.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.95
-28% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Grasshoppers vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aarau
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.04.2021 Aarau Aarau 2-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
19.03.2021 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 4-1 HT 3-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
16.02.2021 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 0-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
23.11.2020 Aarau Aarau 0-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
30.07.2020 Aarau Aarau 2-2 HT 1-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
19.06.2020 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 5-0 HT 3-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2

Grasshoppers 1-2 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
1-2
AWAY Aarau
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau nicked a narrow win over Grasshoppers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grasshoppers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 59% of the ball to Aarau's 41%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grasshoppers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.00 for Aarau.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Aarau?

Grasshoppers 1-2 Aarau in the Friendlies on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 44%, draw 27%, Aarau 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grasshoppers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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