Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolfsburg v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
6-0
HT 3-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
6-1
HT 5-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund got the better of Wolfsburg 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Wolfsburg had 50% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 50%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.50 to 2.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wolfsburg and 2.33 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
Wolfsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 33%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.