Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
12%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.79
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.74
X/2
10%
7.29
X/X
14%
4.91
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
19%
5.13
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Heidenheim win — 37%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.58/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.68
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.5 Crosses 16.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Heidenheim
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.13 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
356 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
26.11.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
21.04.2021 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL2
18.12.2020 Bochum Bochum 3-0 HT 2-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
16.05.2020 Bochum Bochum 3-0 HT 2-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
06.10.2019 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-3 HT 1-2 Bochum Bochum AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
2-0
AWAY Heidenheim
1.64 xG 0.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
302 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Heidenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum beat Heidenheim 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Bochum made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bochum had 51% of the ball to Heidenheim's 49%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.64 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bochum and 0.50 for Heidenheim.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Heidenheim?

Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Heidenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bochum 35%, draw 28%, Heidenheim 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Heidenheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidenheim) ✓ Under 2.5
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