Bochum 1-1 Heidenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

Bochum
1-1 HT 0-0
Heidenheim
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bochum vs Heidenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.78
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.81
X/2
11%
7.07
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
11%
4.77
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Heidenheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.3 Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards –

Bochum vs Heidenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Heidenheim
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.19 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
387 Passes 309
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
21.04.2021 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL2
18.12.2020 Bochum Bochum 3-0 HT 2-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
16.05.2020 Bochum Bochum 3-0 HT 2-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
06.10.2019 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-3 HT 1-2 Bochum Bochum AL2
08.03.2019 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2

Bochum 1-1 Heidenheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-1
AWAY Heidenheim
1.26 xG 1.11
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
338 Passes 176
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Heidenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum and Heidenheim couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Bochum had 61% of the ball to Heidenheim's 39%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.26 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bochum and 0.33 for Heidenheim.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Heidenheim?

Bochum 1-1 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Heidenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bochum 45%, draw 26%, Heidenheim 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bochum), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024
16:30 RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg Analysis →
16:30 Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →
16:30 Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Analysis →
16:30 Bayern Münih vs Köln Analysis →
19:30 Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt Analysis →