RB Leipzig 3-0 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.12
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.3
X/1
14%
3.6
X/2
5%
20.35
X/X
12%
8.92
2/1
7%
20.65
2/2
8%
14.4
2/X
5%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-12.6pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
2.21/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.31
-8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -3%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
533 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.3 Crosses 13.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.15 xG 0.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
414 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-1 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
31.10.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AFK
18.02.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0-3 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
27.08.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
23.01.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
29.08.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
3-0
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.30 xG 0.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
455 Passes 447
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig cruised past Wolfsburg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 50% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 50%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.30 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.67 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg?

RB Leipzig 3-0 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 60%, draw 23%, Wolfsburg 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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