Bayern Münih 2-0 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

Bayern Münih
2-0 HT 0-0
Köln
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bayern Münih vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.95
2-3 Goals
36%
2.19
4-5 Goals
31%
2.46
6+ Goals
16%
4.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.36
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
26.0
X/1
14%
3.58
X/2
4%
25.5
X/X
8%
10.4
2/1
12%
20.8
2/2
6%
17.55
2/X
4%
24.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-8.4pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.6pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern Münih v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
2.79/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.05
+41% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
520 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
41.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.2 Crosses 17.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bayern Münih vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Köln
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.18 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
506 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Köln Köln 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
27.05.2023 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
24.01.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL1
15.01.2022 Köln Köln 0-4 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
22.08.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-2 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
17.07.2021 Köln Köln 3-2 HT 2-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih HAZ

Bayern Münih 2-0 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
2-0
AWAY Köln
2.22 xG 0.88
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
609 Passes 238
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
47 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih beat Köln 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 69% of the ball to Köln's 31%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.22 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.17 for Köln.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Köln?

Bayern Münih 2-0 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 67%, draw 18%, Köln 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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