Persebaya Surabaya vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities
Persebaya Surabaya v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals
Persebaya Surabaya vs Semen Padang Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 Semen Padang — Actual Match Statistics
Persebaya Surabaya edged past Semen Padang 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 52%.
By the numbers, Persebaya Surabaya had 57% of the ball to Semen Padang's 43%, shots finished 10-7.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.67 for Semen Padang.
Persebaya Surabaya vs Semen Padang Result & Final Score
Persebaya Surabaya 1 - 0 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Persebaya Surabaya vs Semen Padang Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 59%, draw 24%, Semen Padang 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.