Botosani 3-1 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.54
Away Pick
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.97
Over
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.42
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.1
6+
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FCSB win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB The Market 55%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.22/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.93
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
15.7 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FCSB
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.44 xG 2.18
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
166 Passes 474
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
21.11.2024 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
25.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 3-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
07.10.2023 Botosani Botosani 0-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.12.2022 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
08.12.2022 Botosani Botosani 0-2 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROMK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
3-1
AWAY FCSB
3.84 xG 0.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
169 Passes 301
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botosani vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani saw off FCSB 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Botosani had 40% of the ball to FCSB's 60%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.84 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botosani and 1.50 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Botosani vs FCSB?

Botosani 3-1 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Botosani 23%, draw 25%, FCSB 52%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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