Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Sep 2026

📅19/09/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.28
Draw
32%
3.02
Away
29%
2.93
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Independiente
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.89 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
254 Passes 307
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2026 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente ARJK
11.03.2026 Independiente Independiente 4-4 HT 1-3 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
06.11.2024 Independiente Independiente 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
24.06.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
20.09.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
26.10.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
PREVIEW Union Santa Fe vs Independiente
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model can't split Union Santa Fe and Independiente in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.

Union Santa Fe's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.83 for Independiente.

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Kick-off Time

Union Santa Fe play Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/09/2026, kick-off 22:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Independiente is a Union Santa Fe win at about 39% probability, priced 2.28 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Union Santa Fe 39%, draw 32%, Independiente 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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