Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2026

📅19/09/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.28 xG 2.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2025 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 2-5 HT 1-4 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TÜK
09.04.2025 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 2-1 HT 2-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
01.12.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 HT 0-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
24.11.2020 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-3 HT 0-2 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor TÜK
PREVIEW Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Esenler Erokspor, but not by enough to write Fatih Karagümrük off.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Esenler Erokspor's last 5 home league games, and Fatih Karagümrük's away form is a worry — beaten in 4 of the last 5 in the league.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 1.75 for Fatih Karagümrük.

Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Kick-off Time

Esenler Erokspor play Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/09/2026, kick-off 20:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrük is a Esenler Erokspor win at about 48% probability, priced 1.96 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Esenler Erokspor 48%, draw 27%, Fatih Karagümrük 25%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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