Jiangxi Beidamen 0-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.67
Over
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No Pick
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.73
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
21%
4.29
6+
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
29%
-9.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi The Market 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.47/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.05
-6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
21.0 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
243 Passes 319
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 0-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
08.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
14.04.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-0 HT 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
20.08.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-2 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
10.05.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 1-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
30.04.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 2-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Jiangxi Beidamen vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi edged past Jiangxi Beidamen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jiangxi Beidamen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jiangxi Beidamen and 1.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Jiangxi Beidamen vs Foshan Nanshi?

Jiangxi Beidamen 0-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jiangxi Beidamen vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jiangxi Beidamen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jiangxi Beidamen 45%, draw 20%, Foshan Nanshi 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jiangxi Beidamen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jiangxi Beidamen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangzhou Evergrande Analysis →
00:00 Xian Ronghai vs Quanzhou Yassin Analysis →
00:00 Ganzhou Ruishi vs BIT Beijing Analysis →
00:00 Taian Tiankuang vs Guangxi Lanhang Analysis →
00:00 Hubei Istar vs Yichun Grand Tiger Analysis →
10:00 Yanbian Longding vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →