Ganzhou Ruishi 3-3 BIT Beijing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.2pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY BIT Beijing EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.50/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.56
+20% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
16.1 Crosses 10.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BIT Beijing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.26 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
144 Passes 158
53% Pass Accuracy 55%
6 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 34
5 Yellow Cards 6
15.09.2024 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing 0-1 HT 0-1 Ganzhou Ruishi Ganzhou Ruishi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Ganzhou Ruishi vs BIT Beijing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ganzhou Ruishi and BIT Beijing couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ganzhou Ruishi at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ganzhou Ruishi vs BIT Beijing?

Ganzhou Ruishi 3-3 BIT Beijing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ganzhou Ruishi vs BIT Beijing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ganzhou Ruishi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ganzhou Ruishi 55%, draw 29%, BIT Beijing 17%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ganzhou Ruishi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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