Hainan Star 3-2 Rizhao Yuqi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rizhao Yuqi EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
Crosses 20.5
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hainan Star
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rizhao Yuqi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.78 xG 3.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
216 Passes 230
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2024 Rizhao Yuqi 3-1 HT 1-0 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hainan Star
3-2
AWAY Rizhao Yuqi
1.26 xG 1.08
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
226 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs Rizhao Yuqi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hainan Star squeezed past Rizhao Yuqi 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hainan Star as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hainan Star had 45% of the ball to Rizhao Yuqi's 55%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.26 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs Rizhao Yuqi?

Hainan Star 3-2 Rizhao Yuqi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs Rizhao Yuqi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 50%, draw 28%, Rizhao Yuqi 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hainan Star), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hainan Star) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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