Liaoning Shenyang 0-2 Guangzhou Evergrande — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.7
No
58%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 34% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.8pp
58%
BTTS No
45%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.31/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.20
+51% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
14.1 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 0.59
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
193 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.06.2024 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 1-3 HT 1-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
29.07.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-1 HT 2-0 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangzhou Evergrande
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande saw off Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Guangzhou Evergrande found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liaoning Shenyang had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.00 for Guangzhou Evergrande.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Liaoning Shenyang 0-2 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 39%, draw 29%, Guangzhou Evergrande 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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