Bodens BK 7-1 Umea FC Akademi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
34%
4-5
31%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bodens BK win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.5pp
21%
Draw
10%
+10.9pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodens BK The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC Akademi The Market 9%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
3.46/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/3.96
+22% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -32%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodens BK
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Umea FC Akademi
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
02.06.2024 Umea FC Akademi 2-3 HT 1-1 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
13.08.2022 Bodens BK Bodens BK 6-0 HT 4-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
23.04.2022 Umea FC Akademi 0-3 HT 0-1 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
29.06.2021 Umea FC Akademi 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
18.06.2021 Bodens BK Bodens BK 4-1 HT 2-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bodens BK vs Umea FC Akademi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodens BK swept aside Umea FC Akademi 7-1. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bodens BK as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bodens BK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Bodens BK and 0.80 for Umea FC Akademi.

What was the final score of Bodens BK vs Umea FC Akademi?

Bodens BK 7-1 Umea FC Akademi in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodens BK vs Umea FC Akademi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Bodens BK 68%, draw 21%, Umea FC Akademi 11%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodens BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodens BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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