IFK Trelleborg 3-0 Simrishamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.98
Over Pick
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.33
No
36%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.5pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
71%
-7.1pp
36%
BTTS No
29%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Trelleborg The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Simrishamn The Market 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.06/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.78
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Trelleborg
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Simrishamn
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
08.06.2024 Simrishamn Simrishamn 2-5 HT 1-1 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
02.09.2023 Simrishamn Simrishamn 2-2 HT 0-1 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
07.05.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Simrishamn Simrishamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Trelleborg vs Simrishamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Trelleborg swept aside Simrishamn 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day IFK Trelleborg made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, IFK Trelleborg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for IFK Trelleborg and 1.33 for Simrishamn.

What was the final score of IFK Trelleborg vs Simrishamn?

IFK Trelleborg 3-0 Simrishamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Trelleborg vs Simrishamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IFK Trelleborg 39%, draw 32%, Simrishamn 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Trelleborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Franke vs Farsta Analysis →
00:00 Viggbyholms IK vs Jarfalla Analysis →
00:00 Varbergs GIF vs IK Tord Analysis →
00:00 Qviding FIF vs Öckerö Analysis →
00:00 Kristianstads FF vs Nosaby IF Analysis →
00:00 Karlshamn vs Rappe Analysis →