Ytterhogdal 3-1 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.96
Over
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
36%
4-5
28%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ytterhogdal The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets The Market 31%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.87/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.56
-4% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ytterhogdal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bergnäsets
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-0 HT 0-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
19.08.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-1 HT 2-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
06.08.2022 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 2-3 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
15.04.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-3 HT 0-1 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
13.11.2021 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 1-0 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
04.09.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-2 HT 2-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ytterhogdal vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ytterhogdal got the better of Bergnäsets 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Ytterhogdal made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bergnäsets led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ytterhogdal and 1.83 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of Ytterhogdal vs Bergnäsets?

Ytterhogdal 3-1 Bergnäsets in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ytterhogdal vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ytterhogdal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ytterhogdal 38%, draw 26%, Bergnäsets 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ytterhogdal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ytterhogdal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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