CD Guadalajara 2-0 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.67
Over
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III The Market 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.81/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.99
+31% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-0
AWAY Real Madrid III
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara saw off Real Madrid III 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 52% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 48%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Real Madrid III?

CD Guadalajara 2-0 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 42%, draw 32%, Real Madrid III 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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