Real Valladolid II 4-0 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.30/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.91
+8% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Aviles
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
24.09.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
11.03.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
23.10.2022 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
4-0
AWAY Real Aviles
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II swept aside Real Aviles 4-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Real Valladolid II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 53% of the ball to Real Aviles's 47%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Aviles led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Valladolid II and 2.00 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Real Aviles?

Real Valladolid II 4-0 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 38%, draw 30%, Real Aviles 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Valladolid II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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