Cadiz II 2-1 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.2pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.08/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Orihuela
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Cadiz II Cadiz II 2-3 HT 2-2 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
02.12.2023 Orihuela Orihuela 2-4 HT 1-1 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz II
2-1
AWAY Orihuela
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cadiz II vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz II nicked a narrow win over Orihuela 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cadiz II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cadiz II had 50% of the ball to Orihuela's 50%, shots finished 9-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cadiz II and 2.50 for Orihuela.

What was the final score of Cadiz II vs Orihuela?

Cadiz II 2-1 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz II vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cadiz II 32%, draw 29%, Orihuela 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orihuela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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