Real Aviles 1-1 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.33/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.38
-4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
11.03.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
23.10.2022 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
1-1
AWAY Real Valladolid II
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles and Real Valladolid II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Aviles at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Real Aviles had 60% of the ball to Real Valladolid II's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Aviles had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Real Aviles and 0.33 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Real Valladolid II?

Real Aviles 1-1 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 47%, draw 24%, Real Valladolid II 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Aviles), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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